Predibly
Consumer and social
prediction social platform
SHOW HN2019
78points
39comments
#604of 2,195 in 2019
Top 28%of 2019 by points
How HN took it
CuriousMostly questions and neutral comments
3 positive, 12 neutral or asking, 3 mixed, 5 critical, out of 23 comments about the project. Thread score -0.05.
Idea: 2 for, 2 againstDocs: 0 for, 2 againstExecution: 0 for, 1 againstDesign: 1 for, 0 against
The thread, comment by comment
Each row is a top-level comment and its replies, in HN's order. Select a cell to open that comment on HN.
positive neutral or mixed critical about another commenter or something else the maker
What HN said
What people liked
Nice design
From 2 comments
Nice design.
azimovsky on HNI really like the design! I would like a filter for controversial, having people add: The earth will still exist in 2020, is not so interesting. I normally don't like…
danielscrubs on HN
Useful idea with a good UI
From 2 comments
I like it! Love that you can sort by time of prediction or by time of post/popularity. Sort by "controversial" could be nice. As soon as you have more than a dozen you will need…
jobigoud on HNI really like the design! I would like a filter for controversial, having people add: The earth will still exist in 2020, is not so interesting. I normally don't like…
danielscrubs on HN
Objections
Predictions are not validated or given odds, so accuracy cannot be measured
From 2 comments
The problem with this is that predictions should, ideally, be clearly specified, offer a percentage estimate (0-100% likelihood), and have some reliable method of validating the…
Emma_Goldman on HNWho will validate the predictions? Manual validation will not scale.
unusximmortalis on HN
Legal disclaimer, about page and data handling are missing
From 1 comment
Interesting, but there is no legal disclaimer, about page, corporation, cookie usage information, etc Does that mean you don't log in anyway any information about visitor, and…
antpls on HN
Twitter sign-up is required
From 1 comment
I like it! Love that you can sort by time of prediction or by time of post/popularity. Sort by "controversial" could be nice. As soon as you have more than a dozen you will need…
jobigoud on HN
Requests
Categories or hashtags
From 1 comment
I like it! Love that you can sort by time of prediction or by time of post/popularity. Sort by "controversial" could be nice. As soon as you have more than a dozen you will need…
jobigoud on HN
Controversial sort and filter
From 2 comments
I like it! Love that you can sort by time of prediction or by time of post/popularity. Sort by "controversial" could be nice. As soon as you have more than a dozen you will need…
jobigoud on HNI really like the design! I would like a filter for controversial, having people add: The earth will still exist in 2020, is not so interesting. I normally don't like…
danielscrubs on HN
API access
From 1 comment
Is there an API? Could I build a betting site around it?
johnchristopher on HN
Email sign-up
From 1 comment
Glad you like the idea! Categories are on our list of features to implement. We're thinking about hashtags like Twitter does. Yeah, Signup with Twitter was mostly to accelerate…
tompec on HN
Questions
Who validates the predictions?
From 2 comments
Who will validate the predictions? Manual validation will not scale.
unusximmortalis on HNWho's validating if I am right and the crowd is wrong?
unusximmortalis on HN
Abuse flagging policy
From 1 comment
It's cool. Develop an abuse flagging policy early.
anigbrowl on HN
Alternatives named
Good Judgement Project
From 2 comments
The problem with this is that predictions should, ideally, be clearly specified, offer a percentage estimate (0-100% likelihood), and have some reliable method of validating the…
Emma_Goldman on HNA relevant episode of EconTalk[1]. If I remember correctly, Philip Tetlock is running a continuous betting project to try to determine what characterize good forecasters.…
BeniBoy on HN
Longbets
From 2 comments
Nice idea! In case you haven't seen it, this site uses a similar concept: http://longbets.org/
zbuf on HNMy favorite prediction from a similar site: http://longbets.org/601/ Jeremy Keith bet that “The original URL for this prediction (www.longbets.org/601) will no longer be…
binaryorganic on HN
Augur
From 2 comments
There's Augur https://www.augur.net/ that's a decentralized protocol for predictions. You can bet on predictions or use the prediction and outcome data in your decisions.
Geee on HNThere’s such a system built on Ethereum: https://www.augur.net/
foundart on HN
PredictionBook
From 1 comment
If you haven’t seen it, I recommend predictionbook.com. Honestly, not as nice as what was shared from a UI perspective. However, the user experience on predictionbook.com appears…
lettergram on HN
Hunches
From 1 comment
I have a similar site I've been working on, although ours is more focused on betting and quantifying accuracy. It's https://hunches.app
mgraczyk on HN