Duedilly.io on HackerShow

Finance and crypto

stock trading analysis

SHOW HN2021

Accuracy of Reddit Trading Ideas

Shown by duedillyio on Aug 20, 2021. Click the card to turn it over.

181points

85comments

#259of 2,533 in 2021

Top 11%of 2021 by points

How HN took it

DebatedReal support and real criticism

7 positive, 8 neutral or asking, 2 mixed, 8 critical, out of 25 comments about the project. Thread score -0.09.

Idea: 0 for, 6 againstDesign: 3 for, 0 againstPerformance: 0 for, 1 againstExecution: 0 for, 1 against

Each row is a top-level comment and its replies, in HN's order. Select a cell to open that comment on HN.

positive neutral or mixed critical about another commenter or something else the maker

Stock splits not handled, distorting returns
From 1 comment
- Looks like you don't handle stock splits. There was a 10:1 stock split for TTD a few months ago, so DDs before then are mostly just showing -90%. https://duedilly.io/asset/TTD/#/
  AliTheLord on HN
Lucky single meme-stock calls dominate leaderboard averages
From 1 comment
- Fun tool. Thanks for putting it together. It's interesting to crawl through some of the entries from leaderboard people. It seems like most of their bets are neutral or slightly…
  PragmaticPulp on HN
Could encourage pump and dump schemes
From 1 comment
- Interesting social experiment that feels like it has the unethical potential to super-charge pump and dump schemes by lending credence to social media trading ideas and…
  challenger-derp on HN
Survivorship bias, since most original posts are deleted
From 2 comments
- Data driven survival bias!
  quickthrower2 on HN
- Nice idea! One problem is that most original posts are removed.
  tinyhouse on HN

Exclude meme stocks like GME from performance averages
From 2 comments
- Fun tool. Thanks for putting it together. It's interesting to crawl through some of the entries from leaderboard people. It seems like most of their bets are neutral or slightly…
  PragmaticPulp on HN
- Seconding the parent commenter’s request! No idea what’s easy or hard for you to implement in terms of UI or functionality, but it would be great to be able to exclude either the…
  kwertyoowiyop on HN
Add worst traders and worst stocks sections
From 1 comment
- This was really fun to browse! Consider adding a section for “worst traders” and “worst stocks” just for fun. For example, CLOV is a wsb matador.
  Jorge1o1 on HN
Track losing trades and win/loss ratios
From 1 comment
- Great project. If you have that data too: it would be great to also display the losing trades and portfolio + include it on leaderboard. Also, winning vs losing trades. For sake…
  throwaway888abc on HN
Add beta-adjusted performance
From 1 comment
- Cool website. Percentage is a good place to start, but if you want to get closer to the alpha of a given idea, dividing the percentage return by its beta to the benchmark, then…
  somebodythere on HN

What time horizon is used to measure accuracy
From 1 comment
- Whats the time scale you are looking at to estimate accuracy? It seems to be real/near real time which can skew things from what idea turned out to be right to what idea got the…
  dogma1138 on HN
Does it classify DD as bullish or bearish
From 1 comment
- Looks very interesting! Do you classify DD as bullish or bearish using the body of the post or the title, just like the ticker? Awesome "About" section, it answered all my other…
  dimitry12 on HN

Twitter idea-tracking tools
From 1 comment
- Does anyone know if something like this for Twitter exist ?
  bigcloud1299 on HN
Seeking Alpha author track records
From 1 comment
- This is a big ask, but can you make one that analyzes seeking alpha posts? Seekingglpha.com ... Generally quite high quality posts, but I always lack the track record…
  unixhero on HN