trading.snagra.com

AI

llm trading experiment

SHOW HN2024

270points
204comments
#259of 3,515 in 2024
Top 8%of 2024 by points

How HN took it

MixedNo clear lean

16 positive, 39 neutral or asking, 2 mixed, 26 critical, out of 83 comments about the project. Thread score -0.14.

Execution: 4 for, 13 againstIdea: 5 for, 8 againstPerformance: 2 for, 4 againstPricing: 1 for, 0 againstDesign: 0 for, 1 against

The thread, comment by comment

Each row is a top-level comment and its replies, in HN's order. Select a cell to open that comment on HN.

positive neutral or mixed critical about another commenter or something else the maker

What HN said

What people liked

  • Interesting experiment and fun to follow

    From 3 comments
    • I am committed - added to my daily morning reading list! Will be interesting - my gut will state that it will outperform a fair number of ITF's, if only due to the inevitable…
      lewj on HN
    • This should be fun to watch
      inSenCite on HN
    • Now this is interesting. An LLM capable of delivering consistent returns even outside of a bull market would be more of an indicator of AGI to me than any of the benchmarks.
      cedws on HN

Objections

  • Experiment lacks a control; needs random or index baseline

    From 3 comments
    • They should have added a pure random bot as a control. Or a monkey.
      aredox on HN
    • Another good suggestion I could implement is measuring against something like VOO, if all the money was invested in that instead of these individual trades.
      sunnynagra on HN
    • Or just compare it to S&P 500 performance.
      alberth on HN
  • Prompt biases toward buying

    From 2 comments
    • I just asked ChatGPT 4o "Guess what the average investor will do with todays stock market headlines. Just pick one specific trade." and it replied sell META. But your result was…
      geor9e on HN
    • Yes, the prompt that I am using does bias towards buying because I am specifically asking it to make a recommendation on a stock to buy and the holding period.
      sunnynagra on HN
  • Sign-up email verification fails

    From 4 comments
    • My first email address it wouldn't accept.. wouldn't let me use it. Maybe the domain hit some censor (fscking.com) Did a different email, it accepted it, I got the email, but got…
      johng on HN
    • I’d love to tune in for updates, but the subscribe button says, “ Failed to send verification email.” This is so cool. Would love to follow along.
      ttul on HN
    • Tried to sign up for emails, but got an error message!
      dghlsakjg on HN
    • I'm getting "Failed to send verification email" when I try to sign up for your news letter. So props on doing proper double opt-in for newsletters.
      Plasmoid on HN
  • Trading once a day and fees likely erode returns

    From 2 comments
    • > Every morning at 5:45 AM PST, three AI models (GPT-4o, Gemini 1.5 Pro, and Claude 3 Sonnet) analyze the latest market news and each recommends one stock to trade. > At 6:00 AM…
      vasco on HN
    • Very interesting idea. I'm thinking about creating an AI portfolio manager (private) that invests for the long term. Some things to watch out for: - LLMs, by default, don't…
      clark-kent on HN

Requests

  • Compare against a benchmark like S&P 500 or VOO

    From 3 comments
    • Or just the S&P500 or something similar that acts as a default "if in doubt, chuck into here for relative safety".
      lewj on HN
    • Another good suggestion I could implement is measuring against something like VOO, if all the money was invested in that instead of these individual trades.
      sunnynagra on HN
    • Or just compare it to S&P 500 performance.
      alberth on HN
  • Share source code and prompts

    From 2 comments
    • Any chance you can show the source code for this? Thanks and Happy New Year
      tmaly on HN
    • Unfortunatly I can't subscribe to the updates "Failed to send verification email". Also, would you be willing to share what prompt are you using? Thanks!
      aws-user on HN
  • Add unrealised gains to summary stats

    From 1 comment
    • Really cool, you might want to update the main above the fold summary stats to include the unrealised gains, because it looks like nothing is working / nothing has happened until…
      forgingahead on HN
  • Test more models

    From 2 comments
    • Interesting — does your backend server use Python? I couldn't find much about it on your site. It would be great to see this tested with more commercial LLMs (O1 / Amazon Nova, /…
      detente18 on HN
    • For Gemini you should use either the latest experimental model (gemini-exp-1206) which should become 2.0 Pro, or 2.0 Flash (a released model). The 1.5 Pro model is way behind.
      jasfi on HN

Questions

  • Where does market news come from

    From 1 comment
  • What prompts are used

    From 2 comments
    • This is fun! What kind of prompts / prompting techniques are you using?
      datadrivenangel on HN
    • Unfortunatly I can't subscribe to the updates "Failed to send verification email". Also, would you be willing to share what prompt are you using? Thanks!
      aws-user on HN
  • Are results consistent for the same input

    From 1 comment
    • Super cool idea! What are you doing to ensure consistent results based on the input? E.g. - does the AI perform the same trades given the same input? - does the AI perform the…
      mind-blight on HN

Alternatives named

  • Random-trade bot or monkey as control

    From 2 comments
    • They should have added a pure random bot as a control. Or a monkey.
      aredox on HN
    • Watch a random number generator generate random numbers.
      noman-land on HN
  • S&P 500 index fund (VOO)

    From 2 comments
    • Or just the S&P500 or something similar that acts as a default "if in doubt, chuck into here for relative safety".
      lewj on HN
    • Another good suggestion I could implement is measuring against something like VOO, if all the money was invested in that instead of these individual trades.
      sunnynagra on HN

Category, keywords, summaries and labels on this page were made by AI (Thread Reader v2) and not checked by hand. Each point links to the comments it came from.

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