Monty Hall
Learning and science
probability simulation
SHOW HN2020
How HN took it
1 positive, 3 neutral or asking, 0 mixed, 3 critical, out of 7 comments about the project. Thread score -0.23.
Execution: 0 for, 2 againstIdea: 1 for, 0 againstDesign: 0 for, 1 against
The thread, comment by comment
Each row is a top-level comment and its replies, in HN's order. Select a cell to open that comment on HN.
positive neutral or mixed critical about another commenter or something else the maker
What HN said
What people liked
Simulation is a good way to learn the counterintuitive probability result.
From 2 comments
Totally! Simulation is a great way of learning this stuff. I spent a lot of time in R doing similar things over the years.
madrox on HNTry increasing the number of doors and your brain will (slowly) accept it. "One million doors" as described in another comment [1] is a good way to visualise it. [1]…
abiogenesis on HN
Objections
Colors and statistics display are confusing; the stats should show the switch win ratio.
From 1 comment
Some constructive feedback: - The language randomly seems to switch to something else ("porta") - Even if you're faintly familiar with the problem (like me), it's hard to gauge…
s9w on HN
Text has a Portuguese word ('porta') mixed into the English interface.
From 2 comments
Some constructive feedback: - The language randomly seems to switch to something else ("porta") - Even if you're faintly familiar with the problem (like me), it's hard to gauge…
s9w on HNPorta mesma door in Portuguese. Author is probably pt/pt or pt/br
mping on HN
Requests
Add a version starting with many doors that reduces each round.
From 1 comment
One thing that helps IMO here is to exaggerate the problem: Start with one million doors. Choose one. Now have Monty open 999,998 of them. Do you switch doors? I believe it works…
jancsika on HN
Questions
Why does switching win more often than staying with the first choice?
From 2 comments
Ah, the good ol' Monty Hall problem...this problem (and .999...=1) have caused a ton of arguments between me and my not-quite-as-mathematical friends. I guess the fact that it's…
tombert on HNIt's a common error, but I don't know if it's most in my experience. I've seen plenty of people fully understand the problem (for some value of fully understand) and insist it…
wyattpeak on HN